Sunday, August 26, 2012

Frontiers of Marketing


Statistics gathered by the kind offices of YouTube and Amazon have enabled us to put together a profile of two quite disparate groups:

(a) those who, having viewed our videos, went on to buy the book
(b) those who, having viewed those same videos, nevertheless failed to buy the book.

The results are intriguing:

                              Bought               Did not buy

Avg. IQ                   240                    63

Distinguishing     callipygian               anencephalic
physical
characteristic

Favorite           Schubert,               “Who Let the Dogs Out”
music          sonata in B-flat

Presidential     Socrates               Donald Trump
candidate

Since there are roughly a thousandfold more potential customers in the latter group than in the former, this presents something of a challenge.

Bomb-Bomb Iran (or not -- nevermind)


This morning’s Washington Post has what at first glance seems an important article about American military adventurism in the Persian Gulf, under the administration of George Bush the Lesser.   Or rather -- not quite “under” it, for the scary thing, the big takeaway, is that a handful of rightwing cowboys almost created another Tonkin Gulf incident, for their own amusement.

Cosgriff — backed by a powerful friend and boss, U.S. Central Command (Centcom) chief Adm. William J. “Fox” Fallon — was itching to push the Iranians, “There was an intention to be far more aggressive with the Iranians, and a diminished concern about keeping Washington in the loop.”
Cosgriff mused in a staff meeting one day that he’d like to steam a Navy frigate up the Shatt al Arab, the diplomatically sensitive and economically crucial waterway dividing Iraq and Iran.
Cosgriff’s idea, presented in a series of staff meetings, was to sail three “big decks,” as aircraft carriers are known, through the Strait of Hormuz — to put a virtual armada, unannounced, on Iran’s doorstep. No advance notice, even to Saudi Arabia and other gulf allies. Not only that, they said, Cosgriff ordered his staff to keep the State Department in the dark, too.   … It was like something straight out of “Seven Days in May,” the 1964 political thriller about a right-wing U.S. military coup.

This would be quite important -- if true.

Leave it to the Post, though, to package the whole thing as a feminist fable.  The headline reads

   Why was a Navy adviser stripped of her career?

and is illustrated by a picture of a pleasant-looking woman gazing into the middle distance, surrounded by a woodland scene.  Typical Sunday-supplement stuff -- it appears in the freaking Lifestyle magazine, where minds go to die.  I almost didn’t click on the thing.   
True to form, instead of digging more deeply into this (if true) truly disturbing incident, the article turns instead to the favored narrative of the Female Victim / Phi-Beta-neurosurgeon-cum-astronaut-cum-superspy.  A sample of their gushy dish:

Gwenyth Todd was from a long line of American diplomats, bankers, and spies… She graduated Phi Beta Kappa in Near and Middle Eastern studies from the University of California at Berkeley, then earned a master’s in Arabic and international affairs in 1990 at Georgetown University. Conversant in French, Spanish, Turkish and Arabic…
Bright, brash, tall and sexy — she had modeling jobs between Berkeley and Georgetown — she seemed destined for a promising career. … Todd was fearless about standing up to overbearing men.


The paper then goes on to present a lengthy and admiring account of her various adulterous affairs.

“We began a tempestuous relationship.” In 2000, she learned that she was pregnant — and that Cabelly had no intention of divorce, she said.

Ooh, the cad!

Since I was reading this online, and since it is the featured article on the Website, I simply assumed that this was the front-page lead, and not some glurge from Lifestyle.  Yet by the end of the article, I had so lost confidence in the reporter that the key military allegations, which initially I took at face value -- and which, if true, would be a bombshell -- now seemed possibly just so much gossip to spice up the Harlequin romance.   The implication as you begin the article  is that a heroic whistle-blower saved the nation from a Seven Days in May scenario and was hounded as a result.   By the end, it seems the whole thing may have been no more than someone losing their clearance for ample and unrelated causes.   She was involved in a number of shenanigans overseas;  I know several people who lost their clearances for much less.

It is because of such stuff that I finally allowed my print subscription to the WaPo to lapse.   Indeed, were I still subscribing, I would never even have seen this article, since the wretched Lifestyle magazine always goes straight to the trash unglanced-at.

For a further example of an important story being sacrificed to mush:

For more on provocations against Iran:


Not that we have anything against a good weepie romance, mind you -- just not masquerading as front-page news.   Our own tender efforts along these lines  you can view here:



The enigma of a woman’s heart,
finally espied  by a Private Eye,
for less than the price  of a Valentine …
This Rose
[Kindle]  [Nook]


Note:  Though the “7 Days in May” scenario is one that this nation has fortunately so far been spared, lesser instances of private, off-the-books foreign policies have been attested, most notably Iran-Contra.   As Lou Cannon put it (President Reagan: the Role of a Lifetime, 1991, p. 435):

What Reagan had done  was create the conditions under which a shadow, renegade government  engaged in high-risk foreign policy adventures  could flourish within the NSC.

Jack Bauer’s “Advice to the Lovelorn”


Confused in Kentucky:  Is it all right to have recourse to torture on the first date?
Jack:  Only if you’re  Running Out of Time.

Dubious in Delaware:   The woman I’ve been dating  turns out to be a mole.  Should I love her up, or kill her?
Jack:  Both.  Preferably in that order, but it's your call.

Snarky in Schenectady:  Why do firemen wear red suspenders?
Jack: To conceal a knife.

Saturday, August 25, 2012

Update to Armageddon


We previously opined that the Final Days would be marked by an epic duel -- comparable to that between Elijah and the Antichrist, or the Mahdi and the Dajjรขl -- between the two most gigantic figures in the known universe:  Google (the All-Powerful) and Wikipedia (the All-Wise). 
Yet now, with the signal victory of mighty Apple over Samsung, it would appear that the Day of Reckoning  shall be a shoot-out among three figures, exactly like the grand finale of “The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly”.

Apple slaying Samsung, thus establishing its right to a monopoly on Everything


Theologians are working on the problem  even as we speak.


*     *     *
~ Commercial break ~
We now return you to your regularly scheduled essay.

*     *     *

[Update:  The Antichrist  struts his stuff:
http://worldofdrjustice.blogspot.com/2012/08/flash-apple-declares-bankruptcy.html ]


[Update 4 September 2012]  Apple is watching U.
Hackers strike back:

Hackers on Monday posted online what might be the crown jewel of data dumps: 1 million identification numbers for Apple iPhones, iPads and iPod Touch's, all purportedly stolen from the FBI.

Even worse, there may be 11 million more Apple device IDs yet to be released, many with full user names, addresses and telephone numbers attached.

"Why exposing [sic] this personal data?" asked the unnamed writer of the Pastebin posting announcing the data dump, who claimed to be affiliated with the anti-government hacktivist group AntiSec. "Well, we have learnt it seems quite clear nobody pays attention if you just come and say 'Hey, FBI is using your device details and info and who the [expletive] knows what the hell are they experimenting with that," well sorry, but nobody will care."

Apple unique device identification numbers (UDIDs) establish a single iOS device's identity in the Apple ecosystem, letting iTunes and app developers know which device is running what. It's what locks most iOS devices into installing only software from the iTunes App Store, and what lets game developers keep track of each user's high score.
http://www.foxnews.com/tech/2012/09/04/hackers-leak-1-million-apple-device-ids/

Adventures in Lineland


It is to be hoped that you have all had occasion, at some point in your childhood or thereafter, to meet the marvelous mathematical allegory Flatland, by Edwin Abbott, followed (in adolescence or later) by the masterfully pedagogical The Shape of Space, by Jeffrey Weeks, which takes you further into higher dimensions.

Here we do the opposite:  We take as our starting-point, a starting-line, either the continuum or some more manageable countable dense subset -- seemingly too exiguous to be interesting.  But remember:  Mind pervadeth all spaces of every sort;  and so we examine what it might be like, to live in this one.   A Leibnizian-Wolframian fantasy, fleshed-out.


[Note:  A prior exercise in Lineland physics was that of Ernst Ising in the 1920’s.   The one-dimensional Ising model attempted to model ferromagnetism, using the simplest possible assumptions.  It proved disappointing -- no phase transitions.   A two-dimensional model produced much more interesting behavior; a three-dimensional model  has resisted exact solution.]

ADVENTURES IN LINELAND

            At first blush, Lineland would seem a constrained sort of place.  As, if its population includes Tom, Dick, Harry, and Mary, arrayed along the line in that order, then Tom can never enjoy the immediate propinquity of Mary; and Harry is stuck forever next door to Dick, even if they don’t get along.

Yet Lineland  can actually be experientially rich, though the creatures cannot move or switch places.  And this, despite a certain apparent simplicity of its citizens. Its residents are monads (the term is due to Leibniz): physically, cells.  Their instantaneous expressivity is maximally limited: the only signal they can emit is “On” or “Off”; but internally, they have enormous storage.  The (public) state of all Lineland is identical with the pattern of On & Off along the line; what are the thoughts of the individual monads, we cannot know (they are 'noumena', 'Dinge an sich' -- Kant this time).  These publically inspectable states  evolve stepwise through quantized time, as in cellular automata. The physics is such that an “On” state of my neighbor  n cells down  emits a signal of strength ½^n (that is, falling off another half-strength with each cell) Hence the perception of a given monad  at any instant  consists of two real numbers (indeed, rational numbers, since n is always finite), one for the world to his right  and one for the left. The numbers may be represented as binary expansions, exactly corresponding to the pattern of On’s & Off’s. Thus, if my right-hand neighbor is Off, and the next beyond him On, the next two Off, and the rest On, the signal-strength is .0100111111….  The sensitivity and storage-capacity of the perceiver determines how many of these digits will actually be perceived by a given monad at each reception.  
            As time advances, the pattern unfolds: we, from above, out of time, see the whole thing spread out like a carpet. 

            The states of Lineland evolve according to some single given rule, of the sort familiar from cellular automata: thus predictably, so long as the world is merely “kicking over”.  However – and this is key --  at least some of the monads have (a very elementary sort of) free will. 
            Now there is, of course (lest you think this concession too grand), only one thing they can do with it: namely, refrain from turning “On” when the ground rule says they should (or vice versa).  These rare but bold interventions are then perceptible ‘from above’  as a switch in the pattern – which then propagates automatically for all time (in all the surprising ways that cellular automata can toss up, albeit deterministically), long after the rogue monad has fallen back into step.
This free will, though it is defined as the ability to resist the dictation of the master pattern, and though unambiguously displayed  only when that ability is exercised to produce a contradiction to that dictation, need not be exercised always as contrarian (like the youth who, to demonstrate their freedom from some convention, unanimously and invariably adhere to some other convention).  Any given monad might indeed have a rule (the rule being fixed, but its adoption free), that (to take a random example), whenever you have laid down five Zeros in succession, you output a One – whether or not this would be in accordance with the master program.
 
            Further, the sentient monads can ascertain  whรญch of their fellows have free will and whรฉn they exercise it.  This, even though the capacity of any monad be finite.  For, suppose the reception capability sufficiently capacious to perceive the signal-strength  N-cells-out  on either side, and to retain a record of these states for T instants.  And suppose that the ground rule allows for determination  upon next output of a given cell  from no farther than K cells away.  Then the ambient band N on either side  produces an output in the next band N minus K on either side  that is completely determinate, providing it follows the ground rule.  (In the side-band, influences from outside the perceivable 2N bleed in, so the evolution there is anybody’s guess.)  If, within this narrower band, any cell does not manifest the predicted next state, it has exercized its free will on that step. 
            Different monads have different personalities.  Some exercize their free will sparingly, some often; and a few contrarians (who might as well be dead) invariably do exactly the opposite of what the ground rule tells them.  Monads exercise their will in a variety of entirely different styles.  Some are absolutely random; others, absolutely determinate; others exercise it when they darn well feel like it (whether this last option is anything more than some blend of stretches of pattern and stretches of randomness, is not immediately clear).  Those that are determinate (forever, or for a stretch) may be so in an infinite variety of ways.  One may defect from the ground rule  only at even instants; another, only at multiples of three; another, at prime numbers.  Others are determinate but not predeterminate:  Lineland’s loveslaves, these defect at t = T+1 if and only if their beloved neighbor  M cells to the right  defected at t = T.   Of course, the monads may fall in and out of love, mimicking another’s pattern  only for a time. Other monads blend all these strategies (in a bewildering variety of proportions).  As: Defect when and only when t is a Fermat prime, unless some specified defection pattern of one’s neighbors occurs  (as, iff an even number of neighbors at positions -3, -7, -22 to the left  and 5, 9, 220, 5555 to the right  have defected at t; this pattern itself may be fixed, or may evolve – deterministically or otherwise), unless one happens to feel contrary that day and does otherwise.

Monads have a psychic lifespan.  Before their soul is instilled, and after they die, they never exercise their will, but turn on and off as predicted by the ground rule.  Lifespans are a connected subset of the timeline, and may (exceptionally) be infinite, either into the future or into the past, or both.
            Internally to the monad, this lifespan is (we conjecture) entirely determinate: the soul is either present, or it is not.  But from outside, it is in principle difficult to tell  when life ends or begins (cf. our own inglorious extremal stretches, of blastula and senility).  For, suppose that a given monad has been inanimate for all time (that is, always following the ground rule), then suddenly at a given instant (call it t = 1) defects for the first time, thereafter defecting precisely at Fibonnaci numbers.  It hews to this pattern for a quintillioan iterations, then falls forever silent.  We may say that it has died – by definition, never defecting is “as good as dead” – but we cannot say when, just as we cannot say actually when it was born, even approximately. For its free-will pattern may have been: Follow the ground-rule for a quintillion iterations; then Fibonnaci for a quintillion; then the ground-rule for three quintillion; then blink on and off alternately for as long as you remain alive.  It’s actual lifespan may be anything from one quintillion to five quintillion iterations (it definitely died before it could implement its plan to blink alternately during its golden years of retirement).

            Reincarnation seems to be possible.  This consists in a personality (i.e. a temporal pattern of defection) reappearing after it has been extinguished for a time; it may reappear at the same cell, or in a different one.  If (as is usually the case) the personality in question lived only a finite time, then its pattern is largely indeterminate, and the reincarnation therefore only approximate or probable.   Still, if a monad, during its recorded life, emits a quintillion-long Fibonacci pattern followed by a sextillion-long pattern of Fermat primes followed by a digital representation of “Yankee Doodle” before falling forever silent; and then another monad (having been forever silent itself), exhibits exactly the same pattern before it expires, then we may certainly say that, while they lived, they exemplified the same spirit.  (Of course, had they both lived longer, they might have in time diverged – we’ll never know.)
            Such reincarnation can, of course, be multiple, and (if in different monads) temporally overlapping.
            Monads can also get married and have babies.  As, a monad defined by the keystream “Emit Fibonacci”, and one defined by the keystream “Emit Fermat Primes” ,may – at any offset (say, staring at the 17th Fibonacci number for Mom, and the 19th Fermat prime for Pop) – blend their instructions:  Junior (who may be born at any specific delay later) emits the mod-two sum of his parents’ keystreams.  Sometimes the results are rather beautiful, as when a digital recording of the violin part of a sonata (Mom) weds and procreates with the piano part (Dad).
            Polygamy, we regret to report, is permitted: a child may have any finite number of parents (its keystream being the mod 2 sum of all its progenitors).  There is even incest: a child may be the mod 2 sum  of two identical keystreams at some nonzero offset.  Par-polyploidal self-cloning is, however, fortunately self-stultifying: should some self-important monad attempt to bud off an offspring parthenogenetically with the mod-2 sum of 2k copies of its own genome (with no offset), the result is identically zero: the child is stillborn.

            Life in Lineland, I hope I have shown you, is a perpetual festival, a riot of laughs. Perhaps that world strikes you nevertheless as more monochrome than our own.  But then consider.  How many different personality types does our own world show – how many (however intricately varied) personal individual quiddities?  So far, only finitely many, at most as many as the number of people who have lived.  -- But I mean, in principle.   Fifty billion? umpety jillion? infinitely many?  Well, in Lineland, there is a one-to-one correspondence between personalities and real numbers: thus, there are uncountably many.  Nor are these, though admittedly numerous, as blandly indistinguishable as the real line seen “from afar”, all unnumbered.  There are, as we have seen, a variety of styles – actually, of classes of styles – or should we say, collections of classes of styles… -- in personality, each one of which has an unbounded number of variations.  And any one variation – any one little perfect little round little self-sufficient monad – contains any amount of evolving variety – sometimes an unbounded amount; sometimes infinite in both directions.  And despite the fact that all one monad can learn about any other monad at any given instant is whether that monad is Off or On, over time it can know an unbounded amount, up to the capacity of its own memory, about an unbounded number of fellow monads. 
            Furthermore, despite the solipsistic flavor of the basic metaphor, life in Lineland is boundlessly social.  Your own actions are affected (though not determined, owing to your ready reserve of free will) by the states of your neighbors.  At any given instant, K of them on either flank  are inputs to your next step, and mK on either side  to your action m steps later.  This can lead to cooperation, but also, alas, to conflict.  As, Mike the Monad likes to be flanked by neighbors (up to some depth; or, as many as possible) that are On as often as possible.  So he cleverly varies his output in ways that will tend to effect this (of course, the effect is not always immediate, but may take time to make itself felt).  If his immediate neighbors are inanimate, he can eventually build up a pretty cosy little neighborhood for himself, all On and atwinkle like Christmas lights, most of the time. And if his next animate neighbor, Marvin, twenty doors down, is like-minded, they can together do even better at keeping alive a nice On column between them (Marvin fending off contrary propagations from the right, Mike from the left). If, however, they have opposite desires for the real estate between them, then life is an endless battle of once-twice-three-shoot.

Such, then, is life  among the merry little monads.  And, as it may be, among ourselves.


~

For a comparable Minimalist  mathematical fable, check this out:

Apple vs. Samsung


[Updated en bas de la page]

In a stunning development, a Silicon Valley jury consisting of a crack team of the world's leading experts in software engineering  \  a conclave of experts in business law    a random collection of housewives, laid-off French-fry salesmen, and people with Apple stock options, reached a Solomonic decision:   You Korean guys pay our California guys a biyyyun dollars.  (You can just picture the scene in the jury room, laughing and whooping it up:  a biyyyyyyun $$$ ! ! !.)   Additionally, since the victims \ defendents bad guys  were found to have oddly shaped eyes, the American judge has the option of tripling the damages at a stroke of the pen.  (BwwwwwAHH-ha-hahhhhh!  Take that, little yellow people!)

The Majesty of the Law.  (Foreground:  Samsung begs forgiveness for its evil deeds.)


From the standpoint of international diplomacy and legal theory, the judgment is problematic, since no doubt a North Korean jury would find that both Apple and Samsung had stolen all their ideas from beloved people’s leader Kim Il Sung, and would award South Korea to North Korea in damages, along with a lien on California.    But we’re too busy to worry about all that.  Time to get in on the action.

In return for a slice of any additional damages, the World of Dr Justice sent its renowned Research Tigers into the fray.  And what they discovered is astonishing.  Samsung’s infringement goes wa-ay beyond rounding the corners off Apple’s patented Rectangles ® [©Steve Jobs, all rights rigorously reserved].  No-o, it goes deep into the core.  (“Core” -- get it?  That’s patented too.)   For:  As our team was able to learn, all of Apple’s software, even though on your screen it looks like goofy little animals and whatever, at bottom is nothing but what top experts call “binary” -- little zeros ® and ones ®.   Shockingly, Samsung has copied Apple in using binary -- and brazenly selected the same little digits,  zeros and ones!

We have turned our findings over to our lawyers, who will negotiate our cut with the court.   Meanwhile, ciao, gotta run -- going out to see a fellow about a yacht.

~   ~   ~

'K gang, that's my Apple rant.  Yawanna FF rant?  This one's free:
http://worldofdrjustice.blogspot.com/2011/05/firefox-is-evil.html

Also, piece about a tech-world Entity  so powerful, we dare not speak its name:
(Nice Entity; down boy…)


-- Flash update !  Implications for Armageddon !!
=>  http://worldofdrjustice.blogspot.com/2012/08/update-to-armageddon.html



[Update 7 IX 2012]  The Apple jurors had such fun playing Who Wants 2 B a Billionaire  that they continue to come together for weekly parties, with lots of games and dress-up.

            “I get to play the Emperor,
             and wear a mighty crown.”

[Update 13 Dec 2012]  The latest twist in this serpentine tale:


http://www.latimes.com/business/technology/la-fi-tn-court-ruling-apple-iphone-sony-nokia-patents-20121213,0,4020999.story
A Delaware court ruled Thursday that Apple's iPhone infringes three patents held by Sony and Nokia, according to a report from Bloomberg.
The case was brought by MobileMedia, a holding company owned by Sony, MPEG-LA and Nokia that controls those companies' patents. MobileMedia is charged with enforcing about 300 patents, but because it doesn't make any products, it can't be countersued. Neat, huh?
Lest you think that tactic is a bit dodgy, it should be noted that Apple has its own patent holding company: the Rockstar Consortium. Rockstar was created after Apple joined with Microsoft and Rimm, among others, to acquire 4,000 patents from Nortel.

[Update 1 March 2013]
A federal judge on Friday erased nearly half of the $1 billion in damages that a jury decided that Samsung Electronics should pay Apple in a high-profile trial over the smartphone and tablet computer patents. U.S. District Court Judge Lucy Koh lowered the damages awarded to Apple Inc. by $450.5 million, saying jurors had not properly followed her instruction in calculating some of the damages. 
http://www.washingtonpost.com/business/judge-invalidates-nearly-half-of-1-billion-award-against-samsung-in-patent-fight-with-apple/2013/03/01/05dd5912-82b9-11e2-a671-0307392de8de_story.html?hpid=z2

.

Friday, August 24, 2012

Faith and Philosophy: II


More chunky-crunchy crumbs;  click  for the whole  loaf…

Many things we take for granted, and ought to take for granted, are not in fact straightforwardly empirically given, but must be derived with the aid of fundamental metaphysical principles,  which we seldom explicitly acknowledge in daily life, and which it has become the fashion  to deny.

The antonym of determinism would be indeterminism, I suppose;  but there are a couple of things that might mean.   (This is because, in natural language, the negation of a composite or quantified predicate is not well-regimented regarding the scope of the negator.)

The unity of science consists  alone  in its method, not in its material.
-- Karl Pearson
The unity of science is a pipe-dream.
-- Ian Hacking

G.K. Chesterton, in the course of his biography of Chaucer -- or rather, in his book entitled Chaucer (1927), in which he discusses all his favorite subjects, with an occasional nod towards that worthy bard -- mentions a celebrated medieval predecessor…

By now we (plain men  all) begin to suspect: This attribute sits on no throne in Platonic heaven;  somehow we have gone too far -- or possibly even set off in the wrong direction (pessima in principiis corruptio -- Geach).

We did not have to wait for the tribe of those laboratory nihilists known as neuroscientists, to behold an academic school dedicated to reducing free will and cogitation to the level of meat.  The behaviorists were there first.

Thursday, August 23, 2012

Faith and Philosophy: I


A trail of crunchy bread-crumbs, to lead you into the forest of our philosophy.  Click on the link to enter.

By “horizontal consilience” we shall refer to beguiling isomorphisms or unexpected shared formal features across disciplines, with neither being privileged:  a harmony rather than an explicandum and an explicans.

“What is Being?” is the ultimate conversation-stopper;  that question, like Being itself in so bald an encounter, is like a diffuse and vaguely repugnant blancmange, filling all space. 

These are deep words, of honorable men; and poles apart from the snarky sneers of a Hitchens.

A similar bit of titular legerdemain (sugar-coated in the title, rat poison on the inside) was perpetrated by Patricia Churchland, in Neurophilosophy: Toward a Unified Science of the Mind/Brain (1986).  What is really being proposed there is not Unity, but Anschluss, with the mind playing the hapless role of Austria.

Derek Parfit, we learn, is “thought by many to be the most original moral philosopher in the English-speaking world”;  and though, to anyone of apostolic bent, “originality” is not really the prime ideal to be striven for in this area -- there is many a pop guru for that -- that was no doubt meant as a compliment. 

Rorty seems to have solved the Packing Problem:  This is ten pounds of bullsh*t in a five-pound bag.